Publications

Zachary Burdette, Karl P. Mueller, Jim Mitre, and Lily Hoak, "Six ways AI could cause the next big war, and why it probably won’t," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 1, No. 84, pp. 305-312.

Zachary Burdette, "The U.S.-China Military Balance in Space: Implications for Future Warfare in the Pacific," International Security, Vol. 49, No. 4 (Spring 2025), pp. 71–118.

Jacob L. Heim, Zachary Burdette, and Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, U.S. Military Theories of Victory for a War with the People’s Republic of China (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2024). A summary of this report is available on War on the Rocks here.

Alexandra T. Evans, Emily Ellinger, Jacob L. Heim, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Zachary Burdette, and Lydia Grek, Managing Escalation: Lessons and Challenges from Three Historical Crises Between Nuclear-Armed Powers (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2024).

Miranda Priebe, Kristen Gunness, Karl P. Mueller, and Zachary Burdette, The Limits of Restraint: The Military Implications of a Restrained U.S. Grand Strategy in the Asia-Pacific (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2022).

Miranda Priebe, Bryan Rooney, Caitlin McCulloch, and Zachary Burdette, Do Alliances and Partnerships Entangle the United States in Conflict? (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2021).

Working Papers

Zachary Burdette, Dwight Phillips, Jacob L. Heim, Edward Geist, David R. Frelinger, Chad Heitzenrater, Karl P. Mueller, An AI Revolution in Military Affairs? How Artificial Intelligence Could Reshape Future Warfare, RAND Working Paper, July 2025.

Zachary Burdette and Hiwot Demelash, The Risks of Preventive Attack in the Race for Advanced Artificial Intelligence, RAND Working Paper, June 2025.

Source: Research at the Blinken Open Society Archives.